Most Kenyans back new basic law, with changes--poll

Sat Jul 17, 2010 8:57am GMT
 

* Most say law needs further amendment, but still back it

* Support for constitution greater than in June survey

NAIROBI, July 17 (Reuters) - Almost two-thirds of Kenyans intend to vote for a new constitution next month although just as many say it will need some amendments, an independent poll has found.

Angered by corruption, land ownership scandals and powerful politicians, Kenyans look set to approve the new legal framework to replace a constitution written at the time of independence from British colonial rule in 1963.

It would limit presidential powers, increase civil liberties and address longtime marginalisation of some tribes, forming a key plank in reforms seen as necessary to avoid a recurrence of the East African country's bloody post-election crisis in 2007-08.

A random countrywide survey of 3,002 respondents by pollster Strategic Research -- released on Friday -- showed 62 percent said they would vote "yes" for the new constitution, 20 percent would vote against it and 18 percent were undecided.

Analysts have a mixed forecast on the outcome, with many traders and analysts saying markets would take enormous confidence from the measure's peaceful passage into law.

But they also fear that regions populated largely by likely "no" voters could resort to violence if the "yes" side wins.

In a poll released in June by another researcher, Synovate, 57 percent of 2,000 people surveyed said they would vote "yes" -- down by seven percentage points since April -- and 20 percent said "no", while 19 percent were still undecided.

Guarantees of a new legal framework were central to a power-sharing deal in 2008, brokered by former U.N. chief Kofi Annan, that ended weeks of violence after a disputed election result that killed about 1,300 people.

The new poll showed 63 percent of respondents thought the draft constitution was a good document, but needed amendments while 25 percent said it was good and needed no changes.

Those opposed to the new constitution, including some ministers in the coalition government, are upset at what they feel is its failure to devolve sufficient power to the regions and at plans to cap private land holdings.

Christian church leaders are also urging a "no" vote due to a clause allowing abortions on medical grounds and recognition of Islamic courts dealing with divorce and inheritance.

Analysts say that many politicians, wanting to appear reformist, are rooting for the new law but, privately, would rather things remain as they are now.

Some of them have benefited from years of impunity and flagrant disregard for the rule of law and some Kenyans are concerned that a new charter will not produce swift change. (Reporting by George Obulutsa, Editing by Mark Heinrich)

Libya's former leader Muammar Gaddafi (L) welcomes Egypt's former President Hosni Mubarak as he arrives to attend a meeting involving five Arab states in Tripoli June 28, 2010. REUTERS/Stringer
Will 2012 see more strong men of Africa leave office?

There are many reasons for being angry with Africa ’s strong men, whose autocratic ways have thrust some African countries back into the eye of the storm and threatened to undo the democratic gains in other parts of the continent of the past decades.  Blog 

 
Kenyan troops patrol the Garrisa airstrip October 18, 2011. Al Qaeda-linked militants prepared to defend a south Somali town on Tuesday from advancing Kenyan and government troops, while a suicide car bomb killed six people in Mogadishu during a visit by a Kenyan minister.  REUTERS/Gregory Olando
Operation Somalia: The U.S., Ethiopia and now Kenya

Ethiopia did it five years ago, the Americans a while back. Now Kenya has rolled tanks and troops across its arid frontier into lawless Somalia, in another campaign to stamp out a rag-tag militia of Islamist rebels that has stoked terror throughout the region with threats of strikes.  Blog 

 
New recruits belonging to Somalia's al-Qaeda-linked al Shabaab rebel group march during a passing out parade at a military training base in Afgoye, west of the capital Mogadishu February 17, 2011. REUTERS/Feisal Omar
Could Islamist rebels undermine change in Africa?

Creeping from the periphery in Africa’s east and west, Islamist militant groups now pose serious security challenges to key countries and potentially even a threat to the continent’s new success.  Blog 

 
A disabled Somali refugee child crawls from their makeshift house at the Ifo camp near Daadab, about 80km (50 miles) from Liboi on the border with Somalia in north-eastern Kenya, February 4, 2009. The growing flow of Somalis fleeing conflict at home has led to overcrowding in refugee camps in neighbouring Kenya and the United Nations expects the influx to continue, an official said. REUTERS/Noor Khamis
The children of Dadaab: Life through the lens

Through my video “The children of Dadaab: Life through the Lens” I wanted to tell the story of the Somali children living in Kenya’s Dadaab. Living in the world’s largest refugee camp, they are the ones bearing the brunt of Africa’s worst famine in sixty years.  Blog 

 
Zimbabwe's President Robert Mugabe (R) and his Equatorial Guinea counterpart Teodoro Obiang Nguema Mbasogo arrive for the opening of the Harare Agricultural Show, August 31, 2007. President Robert Mugabe on Friday imposed a new law on Zimbabwean businesses banning them from raising wages to keep pace with the world's highest inflation. REUTERS/Philimon Bulawayo
Who among the seven longest serving African leaders will be deposed next?

Several African leaders watching news of the death of Africa ’s longest serving leader are wondering who among them is next and how they will leave office.  Blog 

 
Tibet's exiled spiritual leader the Dalai Lama jokes with photographers during a news conference  in Sao Paulo September 16, 2011.  REUTERS/Nacho Doce
Was South Africa right to deny Dalai Lama a visa?

Given that China is South Africa’s biggest trading partner and given the close relationship between Beijing and the ruling African National Congress, it didn’t come as a huge surprise that South Africa was in no hurry to issue a visa to the Dalai Lama.  Blog 

 
 
Powered by Reuters AlertNet. AlertNet provides news, images and insight from the world's disasters and conflicts and is brought to you by Reuters Foundation.