METALS-Copper falls with euro, tracks shares lower
* Euro erases gains, falls vs the dollar, equities down
* LME tin in backwardation, first time since Nov
* U.S. retail sales rebound
(Updates prices)
By Humeyra Pamuk and Rebekah Curtis
LONDON, Aug 13 (Reuters) - Copper fell on Friday, tracking equities lower as U.S. data disappointed investors, and as a rising dollar made metals costlier for non-U.S. investors.
Copper CMCU3 for three-months delivery on the London Metal Exchange closed at $7,156 a tonne versus $7,260 a tonne at the close on Thursday.
The euro fell to a three-week low versus the dollar as the U.S. currency rose versus a major currency basket. [USD/]
"We are in the seasonally soft period, there's a real lack of conviction out there," said Daniel Brebner, an analyst at Deutsche Bank. "The market is wary of economic data."
But he added that copper had remained resilient recently.
"It's held up quite well given how much negative newsflow's come though over the last week."
Investors remained wary about the pace of U.S. economic growth. U.S. consumer sentiment inched up in early August from July, a tad above expectations, but consumers see little improvement in the economy ahead, a survey showed. [ID:nN13177086]
And retail sales rebounded in July but showed hints of lingering economic softness. [ID:nN13180040]
Copper rose earlier when data showed European economic growth accelerated sharply in the second quarter of this year. [ID:nN1274714]
Copper's rally to a three-month high of $7,527 a tonne last week was stalled by recent data from the U.S., showing a slowdown in the pace of economic recovery.
"There's no good news out there," an LME trader said. "It's been pretty bleak lately so I don't see any reason that this afternoon's numbers would be any different," he said.
TIGHTER MARKETS
Fundamentals could cushion a potential fall in copper prices, with global output down sharply in the first half of 2010, signalling a tighter supply/demand balance in the months ahead. [ID:nN12119254]
A continued drawdown in LME stockpiles, suggesting improving demand, had boosted copper futures by around 21 percent from eight-month lows touched in early June.
In Shanghai, the weekly copper inventory rose 7.1 percent to 113,870 tonnes this week, data from Shanghai Futures Exchange showed, the second straight week of increase. [ID:nTST000339]
Tight supplies looks to be a feature of other metal markets as well. In aluminium CMAL3 worries about near-term supplies have narrowed the contango -- the discount between the cash and three-month contracts MAL0-3 -- to about $8 a tonne from $33 a tonne mid-June.
It traded at $2,110 a tonne versus Thursday's $2,163.5 a tonne. Zinc CMZN3 was at $2,047 a tonne from $2,056 while lead CMPB3 was at $2,057 a tonne from $2,100.
LME cash tin MSN0 moved to a premium over the three-month price MSNO-3, going into backwardation for the first time in more than eight months. [ID:nSGE67C01A]
The backwardation suggests looming tightness in supply, although tin is a relatively illiquid market and is the smallest on the LME.
Indonesia, the world's largest exporter of the metal, said on Thursday its refined tin output for 2010 may fall 20 percent from a government target of 105,000 tonnes as unseasonably long rains hamper mining. [ID:nJAK407383]
Three-month LME tin CMSN3 traded at $20,750 from $20,500 a tonne. Nickel CMNI3 was at $21,275 a tonne from $21,500. Metal Prices at 1610 GMT Comex copper in cents/lb, LME prices in $/T and SHFE prices in yuan/T Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2009 Ytd Pct
move COMEX Cu 324.85 -3.55 -1.08 334.65 -2.93 LME Alum 2110.00 -53.50 -2.47 2230.00 -5.38 LME Cu 7170.00 -90.00 -1.24 7375.00 -2.78 LME Lead 2065.00 -35.00 -1.67 2432.00 -15.09 LME Nickel 21400.00 -100.00 -0.47 18525.00 15.52 LME Tin 20700.00 200.00 +0.98 16950.00 22.12 LME Zinc 2045.00 -11.00 -0.54 2560.00 -20.12 SHFE Alu 15415.00 175.00 +1.15 17160.00 -10.17 SHFE Cu* 57400.00 1000.00 +1.77 59900.00 -4.17 SHFE Zin 16985.00 450.00 +2.72 21195.00 -19.86 ** Benchmark month for COMEX copper * 3rd contract month for SHFE AL, CU and ZN SHFE ZN began trading on 26/3/07 (Additional reporting by Manolo Serapio Jr in SINGAPORE and Michael Taylor in London; editing by James Jukwey and Alison Birrane)
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